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1 Article
Source: Common Domain

U.S. Government Bonds Decline on Mixed Data

Friday 20:01 GMT

U.S. government-bond prices edged lower Thursday after data showed the economy remains on solid footing, yet with few signs that inflation is building.

Investors are looking for any signs that would suggest a shift in the pace of growth as Federal Reserve officials are expected to become more dependent on fresh information about the performance of the economy when making decisions about setting interest rates.

1 Article
Source: Common Domain

Mortgage rates slide to 3-month low, as housing market green shoots appear

Friday 14:29 GMT

Read: House prices have surged, and so will the government’s mortgage obligations. Still, as the KBW analysts also noted, housing finance reform hasn’t been a Congressional priority in the ten years that Fannie and Freddie have languished in conservatorship, and that’s not likely to suddenly change.

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.63% in the Dec. 13 week, down 12 basis points and touching its lowest since September, mortgage liquidity provider Freddie Mac said Thursday.

1 Article
Source: Common Domain

Three low-volatility investing strategies for a highly volatile stock market

Friday 14:29 GMT

Even a simple tweak, like substituting exposure to the Nasdaq COMP, +0.58%  or Russell 2000 RUT, -0.49%  with a broad market ETF like the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF VTI, +0.54% or Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF DIA, +0.73% can reduce portfolio volatility.

If that kind of volatility causes you an upset stomach, nausea, sweaty palms or portfolio shrinkage, it may be time to look at some low-volatility strategies.

1 Article
Source: Fox News

ECB to stop its printing presses even as concerns grow

Friday 08:05 GMT

With growth slowing, budgetary tensions in France and Italy, a political deadlock over Brexit and a global trade war still looming large, ECB chief Mario Draghi will be keen to emphasize other forms of support.

The ECB's problem is that growth is weaker than policymakers thought even just weeks ago, while the predicted rise in underlying inflation has failed to materialize, putting in doubt some of the bank's assumptions about the broader economy.

1 Article
Source: Common Domain

ECB will say goodbye to quantitative easing, but when will it hike rates?

Thursday 20:01 GMT

By giving little hint, Draghi, the ECB president, will stick to a program of “dovish tightening” that’s seen the ECB prepare to unwind the extraordinary measures it implemented in the wake of the global financial crisis while attempting to avoid unduly tightening financial conditions, said Christiansen.

Investors expect less clarity when it comes to signaling when Mario Draghi and fellow policy makers will move to nudge up ultra-low interest rates.

1 Article
Source: Common Domain

Treasury Yields Rise on Signs of Easing Trade Tensions

Thursday 16:20 GMT

U.S. government bond prices edged lower Wednesday as signs of progress on trade talks between Washington and Beijing spurred fresh risk-appetite across markets.

“The Fed is likely to pivot in 2019 and tread with more caution on rate hikes,” said Diane Swonk, chief economist at Grant Thornton, in a statement.

1 Article
Source: Common Domain

Get Ready to Worry About Inflation Again

Thursday 16:20 GMT

The core inflation reading was in keeping with the price gains over much of the year, and consistent with the 2% that the Federal Reserve, using a slightly different inflation measure, has targeted.

The dollar’s strength will help alleviate import price gains and the recent drop in oil prices will cool headline inflation and also will help reduce core inflation pressures through lower transportation costs.

2 Articles
Source: Common Domain

Recession in 2019 Not unless inflation forecast is bungled

Friday 17:16 GMT

The latest snapshot of U.S. inflation does little to close the gap between those who think prices will keep rising and others who believe they may have already peaked — a debate whose outcome could determine when the next recession strikes.

Yet if the Fed overreacts and raises rates too much, particularly when inflation remains stable, it could cause the first recession in a decade. “With the economy now slowing moderately, the challenge will be for the Fed to thread the needle between taking sufficient action to keep a lid on inflation while not moving so aggressively to choke of growth,” said Jim Baird, chief investment officer at Plante Moran Financial Advisors.


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